Getting it right every time is impossible, because everyone has different opinions about what is right. Whether they make mistakes or not is also completely subjective based on how YOU want to see the polls.
Show me the CountryFrog Top 10 and I'll point out reasons why you are an ignorant, biased jackass with a personal agenda. It really doesn't matter how your teams would be ranked, I could do that VERY easily. And that wouldn't mean you're actually an ignorant, biased jackass with a personal agenda. That's the point. These CFP committee guys have NO CHANCE. I think they do a very good job at trying to do this the best they can (under circumstances in which coming up with the "right" ranking is impossible), just like I think all of us would if we were chosen to be on the committee.
As for USC, Penn State and Ohio State being ahead of us....I don't know, i imagine if we played those teams tomorrow on a neutral field, we'd probably be fairly decent underdogs to PSU and OSU and probably about a pick'em with USC. Maybe I'm wrong, that's just a guess by just looking how the teams are playing. I know that if Baylor was playing in L.A., Columbus, or State College there would be NOBODY predicting anything but a blowout, but yet there are more than a couple people here that are worried about that game. So I don't know, the fact that they are a spot or two ahead of us isn't that unreasonable to me right now.