TCU is #1 on the ESPN CFP Anger List:
Anger Index
It's outrage season in college football, and with Tuesday's release of the first 2022 CFP rankings, there's plenty of anger to go around.
Here's Week 10's College Football Playoff Anger Index.
1. TCU (8-0), ranked seventh: Yes, we know the argument. TCU just hasn't been dominant. It's a case that might hold water if dominance was the criteria for the teams just ahead of Horned Frogs.
TCU has had eight second-half drives this season when trailing. That's actually one fewer than No. 4 Clemson.
TCU has three wins by seven points or less, but the team one spot ahead -- Alabama -- has two and a loss.
TCU hasn't proved enough to overcome some of the obvious drawbacks. But hey, Michigan's seven-point win over Maryland -- the Wolverines' second-best opponent this year -- must've really impressed the committee.
The folks in the committee room claim to care only about résumé -- who have you beaten? -- and don't look ahead or consider past seasons. So how then to make heads or tails of TCU's No. 7 placement?
The Horned Frogs have four wins over teams that were ranked. That's the same as Michigan, Georgia and Alabama combined.
The Horned Frogs have four road wins, double the tally for Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan or Alabama.
The Horned Frogs have run 20 offensive plays in the fourth quarter when trailing. That's just three more than Georgia, and they all came against better opposition than Missouri.
The Horned Frogs are No. 3 in ESPN's strength of record, which measures the odds an average top-25 team would have the same record vs. the same schedule. That's ahead of No. 5 Georgia, No. 6 Alabama and No. 7 Michigan.
But there's a bigger debate here on how schedule difficulty should be considered. Yes, Tennessee and Georgia have marquee wins, and there's a reasonable chance TCU would've lost had it played Oregon or Alabama. But is it tougher to play a schedule that includes one incredibly difficult opponent and a bunch of cupcakes (as Georgia has) or to go a full month playing decent (if not elite) top-25 teams (as TCU has)?
The argument for TCU is strong -- stronger too because the committee seemed to indicate a belief in the quality of the Big 12 with the rest of its rankings. (Kansas State and Texas fared better in the CFP ranking than in the polls.) So it's unfortunate that confidence wasn't extended to the Horned Frogs. Because while the opening rankings don't often mean much in the big picture, they do set the stage. And as it stands, TCU has done as much as anyone save Tennessee, and it's still not good enough to eclipse even a one-loss Alabama.
For Tennessee, Georgia, Michigan, Alabama and Ohio State, the season will determine who ends up in the top four -- starting with this week's games for those SEC schools. But for TCU, these rankings suggest it's not just about winning. The Horned Frogs need to win bigger, win better and still hope the teams ranked higher will falter enough to convince the committee to change its perceptions.
Tennessee tops the first of six rankings that will determine the participants of this year's College Football Playoff. Here's what we learned, who should be upset, our early game predictions and a 12-team preview.
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