• The KillerFrogs

ESPN: What to watch for in first College Football Playoff rankings

Wexahu

Full Member
I think the thing that gets overlooked with these committee rankings while everyone is laser focused on who will make the playoff is how they rank 5-15 since their rankings go a long way toward determining who gets into the NY6 games. When I see TCU at 7 here then it not only means we have almost no shot at the playoff without being 13-0 but it also means that if we finish 11-2 but don't win the Big 12 then we may not even make it into a NY6 game. And certainly if we finish 10-3 then we almost definitely won't, just like in 2017.
Your point aside, I think in this era of college football you’ll see lots of players sitting out the NY6 games, so unfortunately those games aren’t going to be what they used to.

And if they expand the playoffs to 12, I think some surefire 1st round draft picks might even consider sitting those games out, especially if they are on teams that don’t really have a realistic chance of advancing far, of which there will be many. We’ll see.
 

CountryFrog

Active Member
Your point aside, I think in this era of college football you’ll see lots of players sitting out the NY6 games, so unfortunately those games aren’t going to be what they used to.

And if they expand the playoffs to 12, I think some surefire 1st round draft picks might even consider sitting those games out, especially if they are on teams that don’t really have a realistic chance of advancing far, of which there will be many. We’ll see.
Oh God yes, let's please get the players sitting out bowl games discussion fired up on November 1st. Can I get a side of conference realignment speculation with that?
 

HFrog1999

Member
I guess we need to hire some hookers for the CFP committee?


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Real Frog

Member
The breakdown of how 12 team cfp would look after expansion: SEC (5), Big10 (3), Big12 (1), ACC (1), PAC (1) & G5 (1). When expanded to 12 a conference with divisions would afford more teams a spot at the back end11 & 12 big $ cfp spots through less cannibalization. K-State & OSU are knocking on the door, but will lose out to an Ole Miss.
 

Nick Danger

Active Member



Aww, another "Back in my day" curmudgeonly remembrance from ol' Gil. Those are such nostalgic treasures! His decade-old "Just Keep Winning" admonition, dusted off and brought back to life, is a particular Golden Oldie, as is another Patterson chestnut "Don't worry about style points, just win by one!"
 
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geezer

Colonel, USAF (Retired)
TCU is #1 on the ESPN CFP Anger List:

Anger Index​

It's outrage season in college football, and with Tuesday's release of the first 2022 CFP rankings, there's plenty of anger to go around.

Here's Week 10's College Football Playoff Anger Index.

i

1. TCU (8-0), ranked seventh: Yes, we know the argument. TCU just hasn't been dominant. It's a case that might hold water if dominance was the criteria for the teams just ahead of Horned Frogs.

TCU has had eight second-half drives this season when trailing. That's actually one fewer than No. 4 Clemson.

TCU has three wins by seven points or less, but the team one spot ahead -- Alabama -- has two and a loss.

TCU hasn't proved enough to overcome some of the obvious drawbacks. But hey, Michigan's seven-point win over Maryland -- the Wolverines' second-best opponent this year -- must've really impressed the committee.

The folks in the committee room claim to care only about résumé -- who have you beaten? -- and don't look ahead or consider past seasons. So how then to make heads or tails of TCU's No. 7 placement?

The Horned Frogs have four wins over teams that were ranked. That's the same as Michigan, Georgia and Alabama combined.

The Horned Frogs have four road wins, double the tally for Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan or Alabama.

The Horned Frogs have run 20 offensive plays in the fourth quarter when trailing. That's just three more than Georgia, and they all came against better opposition than Missouri.

The Horned Frogs are No. 3 in ESPN's strength of record, which measures the odds an average top-25 team would have the same record vs. the same schedule. That's ahead of No. 5 Georgia, No. 6 Alabama and No. 7 Michigan.

But there's a bigger debate here on how schedule difficulty should be considered. Yes, Tennessee and Georgia have marquee wins, and there's a reasonable chance TCU would've lost had it played Oregon or Alabama. But is it tougher to play a schedule that includes one incredibly difficult opponent and a bunch of cupcakes (as Georgia has) or to go a full month playing decent (if not elite) top-25 teams (as TCU has)?

The argument for TCU is strong -- stronger too because the committee seemed to indicate a belief in the quality of the Big 12 with the rest of its rankings. (Kansas State and Texas fared better in the CFP ranking than in the polls.) So it's unfortunate that confidence wasn't extended to the Horned Frogs. Because while the opening rankings don't often mean much in the big picture, they do set the stage. And as it stands, TCU has done as much as anyone save Tennessee, and it's still not good enough to eclipse even a one-loss Alabama.

For Tennessee, Georgia, Michigan, Alabama and Ohio State, the season will determine who ends up in the top four -- starting with this week's games for those SEC schools. But for TCU, these rankings suggest it's not just about winning. The Horned Frogs need to win bigger, win better and still hope the teams ranked higher will falter enough to convince the committee to change its perceptions.

 

Eight

Member
TCU is #1 on the ESPN CFP Anger List:

Anger Index​

It's outrage season in college football, and with Tuesday's release of the first 2022 CFP rankings, there's plenty of anger to go around.

Here's Week 10's College Football Playoff Anger Index.

i

1. TCU (8-0), ranked seventh: Yes, we know the argument. TCU just hasn't been dominant. It's a case that might hold water if dominance was the criteria for the teams just ahead of Horned Frogs.

TCU has had eight second-half drives this season when trailing. That's actually one fewer than No. 4 Clemson.

TCU has three wins by seven points or less, but the team one spot ahead -- Alabama -- has two and a loss.

TCU hasn't proved enough to overcome some of the obvious drawbacks. But hey, Michigan's seven-point win over Maryland -- the Wolverines' second-best opponent this year -- must've really impressed the committee.

The folks in the committee room claim to care only about résumé -- who have you beaten? -- and don't look ahead or consider past seasons. So how then to make heads or tails of TCU's No. 7 placement?

The Horned Frogs have four wins over teams that were ranked. That's the same as Michigan, Georgia and Alabama combined.

The Horned Frogs have four road wins, double the tally for Ohio State, Georgia, Michigan or Alabama.

The Horned Frogs have run 20 offensive plays in the fourth quarter when trailing. That's just three more than Georgia, and they all came against better opposition than Missouri.

The Horned Frogs are No. 3 in ESPN's strength of record, which measures the odds an average top-25 team would have the same record vs. the same schedule. That's ahead of No. 5 Georgia, No. 6 Alabama and No. 7 Michigan.

But there's a bigger debate here on how schedule difficulty should be considered. Yes, Tennessee and Georgia have marquee wins, and there's a reasonable chance TCU would've lost had it played Oregon or Alabama. But is it tougher to play a schedule that includes one incredibly difficult opponent and a bunch of cupcakes (as Georgia has) or to go a full month playing decent (if not elite) top-25 teams (as TCU has)?

The argument for TCU is strong -- stronger too because the committee seemed to indicate a belief in the quality of the Big 12 with the rest of its rankings. (Kansas State and Texas fared better in the CFP ranking than in the polls.) So it's unfortunate that confidence wasn't extended to the Horned Frogs. Because while the opening rankings don't often mean much in the big picture, they do set the stage. And as it stands, TCU has done as much as anyone save Tennessee, and it's still not good enough to eclipse even a one-loss Alabama.

For Tennessee, Georgia, Michigan, Alabama and Ohio State, the season will determine who ends up in the top four -- starting with this week's games for those SEC schools. But for TCU, these rankings suggest it's not just about winning. The Horned Frogs need to win bigger, win better and still hope the teams ranked higher will falter enough to convince the committee to change its perceptions.


so how much clearer does it need to be made for some here that what you saw and heard last night was chum thrown in the water in an attempt to create angst and debate. he we have the espn "anger index"

there are novellas and steve austin's return to wrestling that were better scripted than this [ Finebaum ]
 

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