• The KillerFrogs

2024 Football Regular Season Predictions

BrewingFrog

Was I supposed to type something here?
I think it says a lot that we have what is rated the best roster in the league, yet we're picked by most to be about a 7-5 team, and 10th place in the conference.

If that doesn't light a fire under our coaches and players to deliver, I don't know if we have a sustainable staff in place.

Personally, I think we're going to out-perform those predictions, and maybe by quite a bit. It's just hard for me to believe that we won't be in the mix in November.
I'd like you to be right, and me wrong. Hope springs eternal!
 

ShreveFrog

Full Member
I’m not sure that whatever talent composite ranking is factoring in our thin depth at OL and CB. And love Hoov but he’s still an inexperienced QB. So I’m not even sure about my 7-5 prediction now. But one can hope.
 

tmcats

Active Member
I’m not sure that whatever talent composite ranking is factoring in our thin depth at OL and CB. And love Hoov but he’s still an inexperienced QB. So I’m not even sure about my 7-5 prediction now. But one can hope.
yeah, "talent composite ranking" is a pretty obscure metric for ranking a team's expected season performance.
 

Limey Frog

Full Member
I really don't get where we are right now. Does the media know something we don't?

Or, is it because we were so horrified by what we saw last year that we still have PTSD and can't believe it will get any better?

Probably a little of both. Big year for Sonny. He rode Max's leadership and some NFL talent at skill positions his first year, but apparently didn't understand the impact that void of leadership would have after Max left.

Is it there in someone else, or can he manufacture it?
I feel like TCU football will never get the benefit of the doubt because media and non-fans haven't figured out when to give it. We're not Georgia; we don't load up on 4/5-star players all the way down. When we're at the top of our development cycle with senior leaders who have been "hits" (in the sense of recruits that come to campus and work out over four years) we win more than a program at a school our size has any right to expect. When we're back at the bottom of our cycle (like last year) we fall further than the floor of bigger programs whose ceilings as high as ours. In sum, we can punch about our weight class at our best, but we don't do so every year.

All of that makes sense, but every time we have a great year media and neutral observers buy our stock too high then sell it too early when it slumps the next year. Then they predict continued mediocrity and are somehow surprised when we--once again--bounce back higher and quicker than any other sub.500 middleweight would/could.

In short, this year is exactly the kind of spot where TCU football over-achieves. I think we will again, but I'm not very confident. I feel maybe 60% sure we've got nine wins in us this year, maybe ten.
 

Limey Frog

Full Member
yeah, "talent composite ranking" is a pretty obscure metric for ranking a team's expected season performance.
Spoken like the fan of a program that is always low on theoretical talent and high on coaching-driven success. You're right, of course. Talent means a lot more than nothing, but it isn't close to everything. I'd rather have talent and coaching, like Georgia. But if you can only have one, you want coaching like K-State. TCU had that for the longest time, and I haven't given up on hope that we still do now. This year will tell us a lot.
 
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82 Frog Fever

Active Member
I really don't get where we are right now. Does the media know something we don't?

Or, is it because we were so horrified by what we saw last year that we still have PTSD and can't believe it will get any better?

Probably a little of both. Big year for Sonny. He rode Max's leadership and some NFL talent at skill positions his first year, but apparently didn't understand the impact that void of leadership would have after Max left.

Is it there in someone else, or can he manufacture it?
I think the media got it mostly right. TCU does have some very good front-line talent in many spots. On the downside, they haven’t played together much.
Tons of unknowns:
- Can TCU avoid major injuries, especially to their OL, Hoover, Cook, & secondary.
- Can Hoover mature as a QB, stop forcing throws, and take what the D gives him.
- Can the OL open the running lanes, so that our backs can avg. roughly 200 ypg.
- Can the DL & blitz packages stop the run and pressure the QB. Untested!
- Can our banged up secondary still keep everything in front of them and stay opportunistic.
Nobody knows the answers to these questions.
There is plenty for any TCU fan to be cautiously optimistic, but the team must get out to a fast start and establish their identity as a quick strike rushing offense with a nasty opportunistic defense.
 

Volare

Full Member
Here's an update. Up to 70 predictions now. At this point, 57% of predictions are more optimistic than Vegas. I split the media out at the bottom and they are not included in the math. Keep em coming- everything before kickoff will be added.

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tmcats

Active Member
i'll play the game with you frogs - 7 wins.

stanford W losing would be a major "oh shiz"
liu W didn't know they had a team
ucf L i have gus's bus loaded and a b12 dark horse
smu W i smell overrated all over the mustangs
ku L jays are loaded with 30 seniors and some serious (les miles) all conference talent
uh W willie will get this program competitive but not out of the box
uu L playing at their crib would make this a significant upset were the frogs to win
tt L playing in lubbock even though it's against friday night joey is a likely loss
baylor W not sure the bears ever get over losing briles
oSu L gundy will have the boys humming down the stretch
uofA W upset in cowtown
cincy W closing on a high against a low

least confident: smu and uofa
 
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hometown frog

Active Member
Thought I had already added my prediction to the thread but I guess I hadnt

ill go w 7-5. Losing to Utah, OSU, Arizona and then a couple of random losses somewhere.
 

Limey Frog

Full Member
i'll play the game with you frogs - 7 wins.

stanford W losing would be a major "oh shiz"
liu W didn't know they had a team
ucf L i have gus's bus loaded and a b12 dark horse
smu W i smell overrated all over the mustangs
ku L jays are loaded with 30 seniors and some serious (les miles) all conference talent
uh W willie will get this program competitive but not out of the box
uu L playing at their crib would make this a significant upset were the frogs to win
tt L playing in lubbock even though it's against friday night joey is a likely loss
baylor W not sure the bears ever get over losing briles
oSu L gundy will have the boys humming down the stretch
uofA W upset in cowtown
cincy W closing on a high against a low

least confident: smu and uofa
We play Tech in Cowtown, and what kind of K-State fan predicts wins for the Jayhawks? Otherwise, fair.
 
13-2

Big 12 Champs

W @Stanford
W LIU
W @SMU
W @Kansas
W Houston
L @Utah
W Texas Tech
W @Baylor
W Oklahoma State
W Arizona
W @Cincinnati

W Utah (Big 12 Championship)

CFP 3 seed

W #6 Alabama (Sugar Bowl Quarterfinal)
L #2 Ohio State (Cotton Bowl Semifinal)

Hoov and Jack Bech finish 5th and 6th in Heisman polling, canibalizing each other from getting to go to The Big Apple.

By the end of the season, Max Duggan is on the sidelines in some capacity.

GP’s statue is moved inside the stadium, unveiled during a ceremony at halftime of the Arizona game.
 

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