The definitive list, in order of importance:
1. TCU over San Diego State, self explanitory
2. Georgia over Auburn, because if Auburn loses this and to Alabama; and LSU loses at Arkansas on Nov 27, it will completely end any 1-loss SEC champ talks for good.
3. California over Oregon, self explanitory.
4. Utah over Notre Dame. A win will work, but Utah has to be somewhat impressive here. Winning by a TD won't do much good, IMO. This worries me a bit, since Utah is coming off an emotional loss(Like Virginia Tech did earlier in the year) and Notre Dame has had 2 weeks to prepare. We need a good Utah win to show last week wasn't just beating an average team.
5. North Carolina over Virginia Tech. Why is this more important than Baylor beating A&M? Because Virginia Tech is literally a house of cards at this point, any loss will destroy them for good, which will hurt Boise State. James Madison is already doing a number on Virginia Tech, North Carolina winning would be the dagger.
6. Baylor over Texas A&M. Baylor won't take much of a hit in the computers should they lose this one, but still, a win would help our perception.
7. Texas over Oklahoma State. We don't need the 1-loss Big 12 discussion to start flaring up, which is why we need a Texas win here. Also, Wyoming is connected to Texas.
8. Fresno State over Nevada. Boise State is banking on a ranked, 1 loss Nevada to be their "Utah" game, a game against a ranked team on the road to be their statement game. However, a 2 loss unranked Nevada team on November 26 wouldn't be much of a statement.
9. Iowa State over Colorado. We need Iowa State to win here to not only help Utah's profile, but hurt Hawaii's.
10. Navy over Central Michigan. Helps Air Force's profile, hurts Virginia Tech's profile
11. Army over Kent State. Helps Air Force's profile
12. Utah State over San Jose State. We can't let Utah State continue to drag down BYU.