QUOTE(froginaustin @ May 19 2010, 11:28 AM) [snapback]561603[/snapback]
I don't mean to be rude, either, and I hope that I am not taken as such. Certainly I don't feel disrespected.
I think that there are serious concerns with moving Boise into the conference. Maybe specific concerns are outweighed by advantages, maybe not. And maybe some concerns reflect my personality. That is, they may not be shared by others on this board, at least (not counting BSU visitors, who most certainly are unconcerned with the negatives of inviting their program to the MWC).
1. Scheduling. I think a PAC10-type round robin sux, because conference play being a zero sum game. The conference WILL end up with more losses playing 9 conference games. The PAC can afford this, sort of, because they have an autobid. But I haven't noticed a second PAC school in a BCS bowl game in awhile. Maybe that's because their conference is too weak to support a second bid, or maybe it's because the PAC is perceived as too weak because of an SOS lowered by extra losses by conference mates. One "fix" for this problem is to skip a conference team every year. But unless the Billy Goats will agree to a system that does not build in an advantage for them (and they have indicated in the past, that they will insist on playing each other every year), then this possible fix won't work. Of course if Boise is added as a 9th team instead of at 10th, then I would forget this concern.
2. Income dilution. There has been lots and lots of speculation on this possible problem. Unless the decision-makers have information-- not extrapolations or speculations-- that show the TV contracts will be renegotiated and other revenue sources re-jiggered, to reflect a 10-team league. Then this should be a real problem. I can't take seriously the "it will only cost a little" or "Boise will increase the conference total" if those arguments are based on supposition or bald imagination. Once again, Boise as a 9th member makes this problem go away, as would making suitable contractual provisions that would prevent income dilution for the 9.
3. Travel headaches, for non-revenue sports and for TCU fans. Boise, Idaho, is an expensive and inconvenient airplane ride away. No other school in the MWC really is, not even Laramie (weather permitting). This has the possibility (probability) of making non-revenue sports even more expensive. And I hate to see our traveling fan base limited by airline connections, hotel-room availability, and the expense of traveling to a relatively remote airport.
4. BCS bowl game invitations. Having Boise in-conference, in a non-autobid conference, probably reduces the chances of 2 conference schools getting an invitation to BCS bowl games. Granted that an undefeated MWC team would look better having played the other 3 top MWC schools, but the school with 1 (or more) losses, in today's climate, would IMHO be passed over for an also-ran from one of today's autobid conference. The fix here is an understanding that the MWC10 is autobid, while the MWC9 isn't. Personally, I would trade an autobid (not to mention the better $$ that the autobid conferences get) for a tougher road to 2 at-large bids, but we have no indication that this fix is a possibility.
5. Academics. This is not a vanity argument as I see it. By example, I hear rumors that Fresno was eliminated from consideration for an invitation to what became the original MWC8 in part because of shenanigans in admitting athletes, and keeping them in school. Having academically unqualified players can be quite an advantage, an unfair competitive advantage if the rest of the competition excludes those that aren't academically qualified and can't/won't pass courses legitimately. If the professional educators that run MWC schools think that Boise won't have an unfair advantage in admitted/retaining athletes on academic grounds, then this argument goes away.
6. Boise in an MWC12. See considerations #1, #2 and #3, plus several other considerations that I will spare the board because, if I can read tea leaves, a 12-member conference is not being seriously considered, pending any membership moves by nearby (and distant :biggrin: ) conferences.
I think that there are distinct disadvantages for the MWC9 and for TCU in particular in going to a 10-member conference (and even more so, a 12-member conference) in the college football world of today. I realize that 1 announcement from the B10 (or other "power conferences", I suppose) could change everything, but unless and until that happens (or truly credible information that it will happen leaks), I say 9 is fine.
And in the groundless speculation mode, I suspect that if TCU wants to beef up its schedule by playing Boise, that can be done OOC.
I think this is a good post, outlining the concerns.
1. May not be a concern if they do an 8 game schedule, perhaps with one rivalry game you always play. Pretty hard for anyone to tilt that to much to an advantage.
2. Splitting the pie more is a concern, but it is at worst only aabout a 10% decrease of an already pretty small number. And if the 10 game championship game goes through, that make it up right there. Even if it doesn't, Boise will add value next time the contract is negotiated. Obviously this is an area no one knows the exact numbers, but it can't be that big of a hit.
3. This is a concern for TCU, no doubt.
4. I really don't understand this thinking. The MWC stock has risen to the point that a one loss team will have a pretty darn good shot at a BCS bowl. Heck, we would have been in with 2 losses 2 years ago if Boise and Utah weren't ahead of us. I think two MWC teams in the BCS will be a stretch no matter what, but is probably an even better chance with Boise, since there are more quality wins to go round in a season.
5. Really not an issue for the MWC, IMO. They'd of course have to follow the conference's academic guidelines.