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Horned Frog Athletics
Scott & Wes Frog Fan Forum
So, what are the odds of having a football season this fall?
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<blockquote data-quote="monkeyfishfrog" data-source="post: 2853300" data-attributes="member: 34526"><p>This really depends on the effectiveness on our control measures, seasonality of this particular strain of coronavirus, and whether or not this disease becomes endemic (i.e.: persistently present in low levels and really spreading at certain times of year, like influenza).</p><p></p><p>I could see a scenario where infections really begin to plateau and decline in the summer, if our control efforts are continued at some reasonable level and this strain of coronavirus is seasonal (as is the case with many strains). However, if there is not a widely-utilized vaccine by the fall, and if the disease becomes endemic, it is likely to recur in the fall, particularly as control measures are loosened. Once a player becomes infected, you really cannot have organized team activities really among any team. One infection has the potential to shut everything down across the board.</p><p></p><p>I could see a scenario where our control measures and seasonality have combined to drive infections to a low enough level where the season starts in September... and then 4-6 weeks later when infections start to recur, shutting down again.</p><p></p><p>Overall, I think there are two scenarios by which we could have a football season, neither of them likely: a widely utilized, effective vaccine, or: substantial control measure and seasonal decline in COVID activity without a transition to an endemic state.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="monkeyfishfrog, post: 2853300, member: 34526"] This really depends on the effectiveness on our control measures, seasonality of this particular strain of coronavirus, and whether or not this disease becomes endemic (i.e.: persistently present in low levels and really spreading at certain times of year, like influenza). I could see a scenario where infections really begin to plateau and decline in the summer, if our control efforts are continued at some reasonable level and this strain of coronavirus is seasonal (as is the case with many strains). However, if there is not a widely-utilized vaccine by the fall, and if the disease becomes endemic, it is likely to recur in the fall, particularly as control measures are loosened. Once a player becomes infected, you really cannot have organized team activities really among any team. One infection has the potential to shut everything down across the board. I could see a scenario where our control measures and seasonality have combined to drive infections to a low enough level where the season starts in September... and then 4-6 weeks later when infections start to recur, shutting down again. Overall, I think there are two scenarios by which we could have a football season, neither of them likely: a widely utilized, effective vaccine, or: substantial control measure and seasonal decline in COVID activity without a transition to an endemic state. [/QUOTE]
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Horned Frog Athletics
Scott & Wes Frog Fan Forum
So, what are the odds of having a football season this fall?
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