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Horned Frog Athletics
Scott & Wes Frog Fan Forum
Official 2019 Degenerate Gambler Thread
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<blockquote data-quote="LVH" data-source="post: 2751359" data-attributes="member: 71239"><p>I can vouch for this, as someone who borrows FPI as one of my inputs for my college football betting model.</p><p></p><p>FPI's problem, especially earlier in the year, is that it puts way too much emphasis on recruiting. That's how you see teams like UCLA and Tennessee in the Top 25 of FPI despite not belonging there. </p><p></p><p>FPI is a great predictor once the preseason weights are phased out(has some of the lowest P-Values out there and its team efficiences are the best out there in my opinion), but until then I've considered dropping it from my model since its just too skewed toward teams who recruit well.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="LVH, post: 2751359, member: 71239"] I can vouch for this, as someone who borrows FPI as one of my inputs for my college football betting model. FPI's problem, especially earlier in the year, is that it puts way too much emphasis on recruiting. That's how you see teams like UCLA and Tennessee in the Top 25 of FPI despite not belonging there. FPI is a great predictor once the preseason weights are phased out(has some of the lowest P-Values out there and its team efficiences are the best out there in my opinion), but until then I've considered dropping it from my model since its just too skewed toward teams who recruit well. [/QUOTE]
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Which team did TCU defeat in the College Football Playoffs?
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