The problem with this analysis is that some of the results are due to correlation, not causation. Blue chip recruits tend to go to blueblood schools, and blueblood schools tended to get the benefit of the doubt from the humans who participated in the BCS polls and playoff committees.
Over the past 20 years every time there has ever been a question of who should make the BCS national championship or the Playoffs, the humans have given the nod to the more blue blood school. It’s not like the superior blue chip ratio allowed 2008 Florida to defeat undefeated 2008 Utah on the field. Humans simply decided that 2008 Florida and their blue chip ratio were better, and that was it.
Don’t get me wrong, the schools with the best blue chip ratios are always going to win almost every single championship. Particularly today, as we are seeing a coalescing of talent, coaching, innovation, and QB play among the top schools (Alabama, Ohio State, Clemson, LSU, Georgia) that didn’t seem to exist even 5 years ago. But the analysis is faulty. Had there been a more inclusive playoff system for the past 20 years, I think it’s possible a non-blue chip program would have gotten lucky and hot at just the right time, and might have taken a championship away from the blue bloods.
