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Horned Frog Athletics
Scott & Wes Frog Fan Forum
Has GP lost his fastball?
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<blockquote data-quote="Travis Trucks" data-source="post: 2909731" data-attributes="member: 71413"><p>We are almost always 1st or 2nd in the Big 12 in the advanced defensive metrics(i.e. Bill Connelly's S&P, ESPN's FPI, FEI, etc.). However what those stats don't measure is what I call high leverage plays, i.e., we tend not to make plays when they are absolutely needed at critical moments. Best example being last year against Kansas State when we let Skylar Thompson of all people rip off a 75 yard run on 3rd down deep in their own territory in a tie game in the 4th quarter. </p><p></p><p>We are almost always at the top of the list not just in the Big 12 but the entire country in a stat called Success Rate, one of Bill Connelly's advanced statistics, which pretty much measures, were you successful on that play or not? We always are at the top of the nation in that stat. But Bill Connelly also has another stat, called PPP+, which measures the tendency to give away big plays, and we are always at the bottom of that one. Who cares if you succeed 95% of the time, when those 5% of big plays you do allow pretty much undo the 95% success rate in one go.</p><p></p><p>Our defense is the equivalent of an offense that is really good at nickel and diming but can never rip off any big plays.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Travis Trucks, post: 2909731, member: 71413"] We are almost always 1st or 2nd in the Big 12 in the advanced defensive metrics(i.e. Bill Connelly's S&P, ESPN's FPI, FEI, etc.). However what those stats don't measure is what I call high leverage plays, i.e., we tend not to make plays when they are absolutely needed at critical moments. Best example being last year against Kansas State when we let Skylar Thompson of all people rip off a 75 yard run on 3rd down deep in their own territory in a tie game in the 4th quarter. We are almost always at the top of the list not just in the Big 12 but the entire country in a stat called Success Rate, one of Bill Connelly's advanced statistics, which pretty much measures, were you successful on that play or not? We always are at the top of the nation in that stat. But Bill Connelly also has another stat, called PPP+, which measures the tendency to give away big plays, and we are always at the bottom of that one. Who cares if you succeed 95% of the time, when those 5% of big plays you do allow pretty much undo the 95% success rate in one go. Our defense is the equivalent of an offense that is really good at nickel and diming but can never rip off any big plays. [/QUOTE]
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Has GP lost his fastball?
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