The Degenerate Frog
Active Member
Starting this up early for whoever started this thread last week. Below are the S&P numbers for week 2. Bill Connelly developed S&P which is college footballs deepest advanced analytics system used for predictive modeling. Its worth taking a look at Vegas numbers and S&P projections before making a bet. Betting NCAAF and NFL is different because there are so few data points. This is a good tool for value betting and gets better as the season goes on. No point betting the lopsided games as spreads and totals depend more on a coaches willingness to put more points on the board or play first team players.
TEAMS // S&P PROJ TOTAL // VEGAL O/U // S&P PROJ SPREAD // VEGAS SPREAD
No. 16 TCU (-23.5) 46, SMU 19 (Sep. 7, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2) 65 // 59 // -27 // -23.5
No. 3 Georgia (-10) 36, No. 24 South Carolina 23 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS) 59 // 56.5 // -13 // -10
No. 10 Stanford (-5.5) 32, No. 17 USC 24 (Sep. 8, 8:30 p.m. ET, Fox) 56 // 56.5 // -8 // -5.5
No. 1 Alabama 52, Arkansas State (+35.5) 17 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2) 69 // 66 // 35 // 35.5
No. 2 Clemson 32, Texas A&M (+12.5) 20 (Sep. 8, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN) 52 // 54.5 // 12 // 12.5
No. 4 Ohio State 43, Rutgers (+35.5) 10 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, BTN) 53 // 63 // 33 // 35.5
No. 5 Wisconsin 51, New Mexico (+35) 22 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m. ET, BTN) 73 // 59 // 29 // 35
No. 6 Oklahoma 43 (-30.5), UCLA 7 (Sep. 8, 1 p.m. ET, Fox) 50 // 64 // -36 // -30.5
No. 7 Auburn 80, Alabama State 0 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, SECN) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 8 Notre Dame 39, Ball State (+35.5) 10 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, NBC) 49 // 62 // 29 // 35.5
No. 9 Washington 45, North Dakota 0 (Sep. 8, 5 p.m. ET, Pac-12) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 11 LSU 55, SE Louisiana 0 (Sep. 8, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 12 Virginia Tech 45, Willam & Mary 0 (Sep. 8, 2 p.m. ET, ACCN) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 13 Penn State 42, Pittsburgh (+9.5) 33 (Sep. 8, 8 p.m. ET, ABC) 75 // 56.5 // 9 // 9.5
No. 14 West Virginia 34, Youngstown State 7 (Sep. 8, 6 p.m. ET, ATTPI) NA // NA // NA // NA
Arizona State (+7) 33, No. 15 Michigan State 31 (Sep. 8, 10:45 p.m. ET, ESPN) 64 // 54 // -2 // 7
No. 18 Mississippi State (-9) 35, Kansas State 10 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m.ET, ESPN) 45 // 53 // -25 // -9
No. 19 UCF 56, SC State 0 (Sep. 8, 6 p.m. ET, ESPN3) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 20 Boise State (-31.5) 58, UConn 12 (Sep. 8, 10:15 p.m. ET, ESPNU) 70 // 64 // -46 // -31.5
No. 21 Michigan (-28) 44, Western Michigan 16 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m.ET, FS1) 60 // 56.5 // -28 // -28
No. 22 Miami 63, Savannah State 0 (Sep. 8, 6 p.m. ET, ACCN) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 23 Oregon 49, Portland State 0 (Sep. 8, 2 p.m.ET, Pac-12) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 25 Florida (-14) 34, Kentucky 16 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, SECN) 50 // 51 // -18 // -14
Colorado (+3.5) 33, Nebraska 28 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC) 61 // 64.5 // -5 // 3.5
Duke 34 (+3), Northwestern 32 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m. ET, ESPNU) 66 // 48.5 // -2 // 3
Iowa (-4.5) 26, Iowa State 15 (Sep. 8, 5 p.m. ET, Fox) 39 // 47 // -11 // -4.5
Virginia (+6.5) 29, Indiana 27 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, BTN) 56 // 52.5 // -2 // 6.5
Appalachian State 36, Charlotte (+14) 24 (Sep. 8, 6 p.m. ET, ESPN+) 60 // 48.5 // 12 // 14
Arkansas (-14.5) 47, Colorado State 26 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, CBSSN) 73 // 70 // -21 // -14.5
Baylor (-16) 51, UTSA 30 (Sep. 8, 7 p.m. ET, Facebook) 81 // 51 // -21 // -16
Buffalo (+5) 28, Temple 23 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN3) 51 // 51 // -5 // 5
BYU 23, California (+3) 21 (Sep. 8, 10:15 p.m. ET, ESPN2) 44 // 46.5 // 2 // 3
Central Michigan (-5.5) 21, Kansas 15 (Sep. 8, 3 p.m. ET, ESPN+) 36 // 50 // -6 // -5.5
Cincinnati (+1) 29, Miami (Ohio) 27 (Sep. 8, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN3) 56 // 50 // -2 // 1
Florida Atlantic 23, Air Force (+9.5) 23 (Sep. 8, 2 p.m. ET, Facebook) 46 // 65 // 0 // 9.5
Florida International (-1) 34, Old Dominion 26 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, beIN) 60 // 51.5 // -8 // -1
Fresno State (+2.5) 32, Minnesota 28 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, FS1) 60 // 47.5 // -4 // 2.5
Georgia Southern 36, UMass (+2.5) 34 (Sep. 8, 6 p.m. ET, ESPN+) 70 // 63 // 2 // 2.5
Hawaii 46, Rice (+18) 39 (Sep. 8, 11:59 p.m. ET, Stadium) 85 // 70.5 // 7 // 18
Houston (-3.5) 36, Arizona 32 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN2) 68 // 71 // -4 // -3.5
Liberty (+9) 31, Army 30 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m. ET, CBSSN) 61 // 59 // -1 // 9
Maryland (-16) 45, Bowling Green 29 (Sep. 8, 6 p.m. ET, ESPN+) 74 // 65.5 // -16 // -16
Memphis (-7) 55, Navy 28 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBSSN) 83 // 68 //-27 // -7
Missouri (-18.5) 42, Wyoming 24 (Sep. 8, 7 p.m. ET, ESPNU) 66 // 52.5 // -18 // -18.5
NC State 32, Georgia State (+24.5) 12 (Sep. 8, 12:30 p.m. ET, ACCN) 44 // 57.5 // 20 // 24.5
North Carolina (-17) 23, East Carolina 4 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU) 27 // 60 // -19 // -17
Oklahoma State 47, South Alabama (+33) 16 (Sep. 8, 8 p.m. ET, FSN) 63 // 63 // 31 // 33
Purdue 33, Eastern Michigan (+17) 31 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m. ET, BTN) 64 // 54.5 // 2 // 17
Southern Miss (-5.5) 35, UL-Monroe 17 (Sep. 8, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN3) 52 // 69 // -18 // -5.5
Texas 36, Tulsa (+23) 20 (Sep. 8, 8 p.m. ET, LHN) 56 // 62.5 // 16 // 23
UAB (-10) 36, Coastal Carolina 19 (Sep. 8, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN+) 55 // 55 // -17 // -10
UNLV 37, UTEP (+24) 13 (Sep. 8, 9 p.m. ET, MWC Video) 50 // 55.5 // 24 // 24
USF (+3.5) 25, Georgia Tech 23 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN2) 48 // 61.5 // -2 // 3.5
Utah (-10.5) 28, Northern Illinois 4 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPNN) 32 // 47.5 // -24 // -10.5
Utah State 45, New Mexico State (+24) 24 (Sep. 8, 8 p.m. ET, Facebook) 69 // 62 // 21 // 24
Vanderbilt (-8) 37, Nevada 28 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m.PM ET, SECN) 65 // 62 // -9 // -8
Washington State (-34.5) 54, San Jose State 12 (Sep. 8, 11 p.m. ET, Pac-12) 66 // 65 // -42 // -34.5
TEAMS // S&P PROJ TOTAL // VEGAL O/U // S&P PROJ SPREAD // VEGAS SPREAD
No. 16 TCU (-23.5) 46, SMU 19 (Sep. 7, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2) 65 // 59 // -27 // -23.5
No. 3 Georgia (-10) 36, No. 24 South Carolina 23 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS) 59 // 56.5 // -13 // -10
No. 10 Stanford (-5.5) 32, No. 17 USC 24 (Sep. 8, 8:30 p.m. ET, Fox) 56 // 56.5 // -8 // -5.5
No. 1 Alabama 52, Arkansas State (+35.5) 17 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN2) 69 // 66 // 35 // 35.5
No. 2 Clemson 32, Texas A&M (+12.5) 20 (Sep. 8, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN) 52 // 54.5 // 12 // 12.5
No. 4 Ohio State 43, Rutgers (+35.5) 10 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, BTN) 53 // 63 // 33 // 35.5
No. 5 Wisconsin 51, New Mexico (+35) 22 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m. ET, BTN) 73 // 59 // 29 // 35
No. 6 Oklahoma 43 (-30.5), UCLA 7 (Sep. 8, 1 p.m. ET, Fox) 50 // 64 // -36 // -30.5
No. 7 Auburn 80, Alabama State 0 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, SECN) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 8 Notre Dame 39, Ball State (+35.5) 10 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, NBC) 49 // 62 // 29 // 35.5
No. 9 Washington 45, North Dakota 0 (Sep. 8, 5 p.m. ET, Pac-12) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 11 LSU 55, SE Louisiana 0 (Sep. 8, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 12 Virginia Tech 45, Willam & Mary 0 (Sep. 8, 2 p.m. ET, ACCN) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 13 Penn State 42, Pittsburgh (+9.5) 33 (Sep. 8, 8 p.m. ET, ABC) 75 // 56.5 // 9 // 9.5
No. 14 West Virginia 34, Youngstown State 7 (Sep. 8, 6 p.m. ET, ATTPI) NA // NA // NA // NA
Arizona State (+7) 33, No. 15 Michigan State 31 (Sep. 8, 10:45 p.m. ET, ESPN) 64 // 54 // -2 // 7
No. 18 Mississippi State (-9) 35, Kansas State 10 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m.ET, ESPN) 45 // 53 // -25 // -9
No. 19 UCF 56, SC State 0 (Sep. 8, 6 p.m. ET, ESPN3) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 20 Boise State (-31.5) 58, UConn 12 (Sep. 8, 10:15 p.m. ET, ESPNU) 70 // 64 // -46 // -31.5
No. 21 Michigan (-28) 44, Western Michigan 16 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m.ET, FS1) 60 // 56.5 // -28 // -28
No. 22 Miami 63, Savannah State 0 (Sep. 8, 6 p.m. ET, ACCN) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 23 Oregon 49, Portland State 0 (Sep. 8, 2 p.m.ET, Pac-12) NA // NA // NA // NA
No. 25 Florida (-14) 34, Kentucky 16 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, SECN) 50 // 51 // -18 // -14
Colorado (+3.5) 33, Nebraska 28 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, ABC) 61 // 64.5 // -5 // 3.5
Duke 34 (+3), Northwestern 32 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m. ET, ESPNU) 66 // 48.5 // -2 // 3
Iowa (-4.5) 26, Iowa State 15 (Sep. 8, 5 p.m. ET, Fox) 39 // 47 // -11 // -4.5
Virginia (+6.5) 29, Indiana 27 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, BTN) 56 // 52.5 // -2 // 6.5
Appalachian State 36, Charlotte (+14) 24 (Sep. 8, 6 p.m. ET, ESPN+) 60 // 48.5 // 12 // 14
Arkansas (-14.5) 47, Colorado State 26 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, CBSSN) 73 // 70 // -21 // -14.5
Baylor (-16) 51, UTSA 30 (Sep. 8, 7 p.m. ET, Facebook) 81 // 51 // -21 // -16
Buffalo (+5) 28, Temple 23 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPN3) 51 // 51 // -5 // 5
BYU 23, California (+3) 21 (Sep. 8, 10:15 p.m. ET, ESPN2) 44 // 46.5 // 2 // 3
Central Michigan (-5.5) 21, Kansas 15 (Sep. 8, 3 p.m. ET, ESPN+) 36 // 50 // -6 // -5.5
Cincinnati (+1) 29, Miami (Ohio) 27 (Sep. 8, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN3) 56 // 50 // -2 // 1
Florida Atlantic 23, Air Force (+9.5) 23 (Sep. 8, 2 p.m. ET, Facebook) 46 // 65 // 0 // 9.5
Florida International (-1) 34, Old Dominion 26 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, beIN) 60 // 51.5 // -8 // -1
Fresno State (+2.5) 32, Minnesota 28 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, FS1) 60 // 47.5 // -4 // 2.5
Georgia Southern 36, UMass (+2.5) 34 (Sep. 8, 6 p.m. ET, ESPN+) 70 // 63 // 2 // 2.5
Hawaii 46, Rice (+18) 39 (Sep. 8, 11:59 p.m. ET, Stadium) 85 // 70.5 // 7 // 18
Houston (-3.5) 36, Arizona 32 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN2) 68 // 71 // -4 // -3.5
Liberty (+9) 31, Army 30 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m. ET, CBSSN) 61 // 59 // -1 // 9
Maryland (-16) 45, Bowling Green 29 (Sep. 8, 6 p.m. ET, ESPN+) 74 // 65.5 // -16 // -16
Memphis (-7) 55, Navy 28 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, CBSSN) 83 // 68 //-27 // -7
Missouri (-18.5) 42, Wyoming 24 (Sep. 8, 7 p.m. ET, ESPNU) 66 // 52.5 // -18 // -18.5
NC State 32, Georgia State (+24.5) 12 (Sep. 8, 12:30 p.m. ET, ACCN) 44 // 57.5 // 20 // 24.5
North Carolina (-17) 23, East Carolina 4 (Sep. 8, 3:30 p.m. ET, ESPNU) 27 // 60 // -19 // -17
Oklahoma State 47, South Alabama (+33) 16 (Sep. 8, 8 p.m. ET, FSN) 63 // 63 // 31 // 33
Purdue 33, Eastern Michigan (+17) 31 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m. ET, BTN) 64 // 54.5 // 2 // 17
Southern Miss (-5.5) 35, UL-Monroe 17 (Sep. 8, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN3) 52 // 69 // -18 // -5.5
Texas 36, Tulsa (+23) 20 (Sep. 8, 8 p.m. ET, LHN) 56 // 62.5 // 16 // 23
UAB (-10) 36, Coastal Carolina 19 (Sep. 8, 7 p.m. ET, ESPN+) 55 // 55 // -17 // -10
UNLV 37, UTEP (+24) 13 (Sep. 8, 9 p.m. ET, MWC Video) 50 // 55.5 // 24 // 24
USF (+3.5) 25, Georgia Tech 23 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m. ET, ABC/ESPN2) 48 // 61.5 // -2 // 3.5
Utah (-10.5) 28, Northern Illinois 4 (Sep. 8, 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPNN) 32 // 47.5 // -24 // -10.5
Utah State 45, New Mexico State (+24) 24 (Sep. 8, 8 p.m. ET, Facebook) 69 // 62 // 21 // 24
Vanderbilt (-8) 37, Nevada 28 (Sep. 8, 12 p.m.PM ET, SECN) 65 // 62 // -9 // -8
Washington State (-34.5) 54, San Jose State 12 (Sep. 8, 11 p.m. ET, Pac-12) 66 // 65 // -42 // -34.5