• The KillerFrogs

Alamo Bowl Game Predictions - most "experts" & computer models pick Stanford over TCU

If TCU needed a reason to have a chip on the shoulder, here it is!

Alamo Bowl Predictions:

Dallas News -
Our TCU-Stanford predictions: Will Horned Frogs be part of another classic Alamo Bowl?
https://sportsday.dallasnews.com/co...-horned-frogs-part-another-classic-alamo-bowl

Dennis Dodd of CBS picks Stanford and every CBS "expert" except Chip Patterson:
https://mweb.cbssports.com/ncaaf/expert-picks#

Sportsline.com (http://www.sportsline.com/college-football/bowl-picks/) a proven computer model says not only Stanford covers but wins outright (reported by CBS Sports):
https://www.cbssports.com/college-f...en-computer-model-loves-miami-and-ohio-state/

6 out of 7 from Sports Illustrated picks TCU:
https://www.si.com/college-football...expert-predictions-schedule-confidence-points

ESPN picks Stanford:
http://www.espn.com/college-footbal...ollege-football-playoff-national-championship

Sporting News picks TCU:
http://www.sportingnews.com/ncaa-fo...ional-championship/1f2tji67vn2pb1djtu500eoj5x

College Football News picks Stanford:
http://collegefootballnews.com/2017...rediction-game-preview-line-history-tv-scores

Athlon Sports predicts Stanford win:
https://athlonsports.com/college-fo...on-stanford-cardinal-vs-tcu-horned-frogs-2017

Bleacher Report picks Stanford:
http://bleacherreport.com/articles/...017-stanford-vs-tcu-tv-schedule-time-and-odds

Fox Sports computer prediction TCU:
https://www.foxsports.com/college-football/boxscore?id=28652&type=8
 

ShreveFrog

Full Member
I can understand. The experts watched us get blown out twice in one month’s time, looking very not-TCU-like, albeit vs. OU. Then they see the flat tires we had in Ames. Is what it is.

Go Frogs! Beat Stanford! Show ‘em!
 

frogxc

Active Member
Point taken.

What I like about Vegas, no biases.

"Vegas" does not care if they are right or wrong in the end. All the different books care about is that they get as close to equal money on both sides as possible every time. In this regard, public perception comes into play. So it's not always as simple as "what Vegas says", because they aren't trying to predict the game to the exact spread. They are just trying to offer a number in which there is equal betting interest on both sides.

So there may not be a "bias", but on the flip side, their motivation is not to predict the score, it's to cater to and or/manipulate public perception.
 
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