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Horned Frog Athletics
Scott & Wes Frog Fan Forum
2022 Football Regular Season Predictions
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<blockquote data-quote="Showtime Joe 2.0" data-source="post: 3159880" data-attributes="member: 70002"><p>I understand your point but the bookmakers do assess the actual talent and schedule of a team before they settle on the original over-under number since they know that's what bettors will do themselves. And then, of course, the odds are adjusted based on how much money is coming in on either side of the number and, in rare cases for pre-season bets on total wins, they may even have to adjust the number itself. </p><p></p><p>So, I guess I should've been more precise and said that it looks like either some early money has come in on the Frogs winning <em>at least </em>7 games (not necessarily finishing at 7-5 on the nose) or else (since it's so early) that the books anticipate more money coming in the Frogs going over the total as opposed to under it as the season approaches and more bets are taken. </p><p></p><p>But, yes, a betting line is just a betting line and not an actual prediction by the oddsmakers. That's why I always laugh when the final score of a game lands right on the betting line number and people marvel that, "Vegas knows." In truth, Vegas doesn't know how a certain game will turn out any more than does a monkey in the zoo. But Vegas does know how people will bet (and are betting) on that game. When a double-digit underdog pulls off an upset win, nobody ever says, "Wow. Vegas doesn't know squat." LOL</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Showtime Joe 2.0, post: 3159880, member: 70002"] I understand your point but the bookmakers do assess the actual talent and schedule of a team before they settle on the original over-under number since they know that's what bettors will do themselves. And then, of course, the odds are adjusted based on how much money is coming in on either side of the number and, in rare cases for pre-season bets on total wins, they may even have to adjust the number itself. So, I guess I should've been more precise and said that it looks like either some early money has come in on the Frogs winning [I]at least [/I]7 games (not necessarily finishing at 7-5 on the nose) or else (since it's so early) that the books anticipate more money coming in the Frogs going over the total as opposed to under it as the season approaches and more bets are taken. But, yes, a betting line is just a betting line and not an actual prediction by the oddsmakers. That's why I always laugh when the final score of a game lands right on the betting line number and people marvel that, "Vegas knows." In truth, Vegas doesn't know how a certain game will turn out any more than does a monkey in the zoo. But Vegas does know how people will bet (and are betting) on that game. When a double-digit underdog pulls off an upset win, nobody ever says, "Wow. Vegas doesn't know squat." LOL [/QUOTE]
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Which team did TCU defeat in the College Football Playoffs?
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2022 Football Regular Season Predictions
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