TCU vs Texas - Vegas Opening Line

[Moose Stuff]

Apparently their predictor goes back thru 40 years of data to set that.

I wonder if any of their Game Day hosts were using the predictor when they picked Rutgers to beat Kansas.

 

[Ron Swanson]

I absolutely hate all of this over confidence that I am reading on here. Anytime a bunch of people think a spread is a sure thing, it goes the other way.

 

[MinFrog]

I absolutely hate all of this over confidence that I am reading on here. Anytime a bunch of people think a spread is a sure thing, it goes the other way.

You don’t like overconfidence, but your next sentence starts ‘anytime...’

Sure. Ok.

 

[SnoSki]

Frogs have had at worst an identical schedule to UT in terms of difficulty but have had vastly superior stats. UT is around 50-70 in every category.

 

[Moose Stuff]

I absolutely hate all of this over confidence that I am reading on here. Anytime a bunch of people think a spread is a sure thing, it goes the other way.

In fairness it’s not so much a “bunch of people” as it is like 7 dudes on a TCU message board.

 

[Wexahu]

I absolutely hate all of this over confidence that I am reading on here. Anytime a bunch of people think a spread is a sure thing, it goes the other way.

The only thing I’m confident in is if our team goes in there not ready to play and thinks Texas sucks we’re gonna be pretty deflated come Saturday night. This is gonna be a tough game.

 

[Casey T]

We are gonna stomp these Briles whornes

 

[Moose Stuff]

The only thing I’m confident in is if our team goes in there not ready to play and thinks Texas sucks we’re gonna be pretty deflated come Saturday night.

You can apply that to basically every game we play outside of teams like Southern.

 

[Smellslikeroses]

Apparently their predictor goes back thru 40 years of data to set that.

A lot has to do with the star ratings of the players early in the season.

 

[Ron Swanson]

You don’t like overconfidence, but your next sentence starts ‘anytime...’

Sure. Ok.

I don’t get it

 

[FrankDMaynard]

We just went toe to toe with a legitimate #4 team and with a few less mistakes we win. I think if we play up to standard, we beat UT...Again!! I don't see any letdown with this bunch.

 

[Ron Swanson]

In fairness it’s not so much a “bunch of people” as it is like 7 dudes on a TCU message board.

And don’t get me wrong, I think we have a very good chance of beating the ship out of these guys

 

[Moose Stuff]

And don’t get me wrong, I think we have a very good chance of beating the ship out of these guys

I’m just giving you a hard time. I don’t know jack [ Finebaum ] about gambling/point spreads.

 

[ticketfrog123]

I think the line is due to a few things:

If y’all remember or those who don’t bet remember Vegas had this slated as a pick’em when lines were released prior to season. So, 2.5 was an adjustment due to recent outcomes.

Road Conference opener

Letdown after Ohio St
(although I believe we will be motivated due to the tough self-inflicted loss)

Our perception from OSU loss (self-inflicted)

Not really due to USC victory would be my guess OR the line would be Pick’em today.

Revenge a distant 4th

And....of course......where they think the public will be split with that #

This is false.

UT opened as a 3 pt favorite at South Point and a 5 pt favorite at westgate.

 

[berryfrog95]

This is false.

UT opened as a 3 pt favorite at South Point and a 5 pt favorite at westgate.

you may be right......are u talking about recent Southpoint or in the preseason? Thought I saw Pick’em in preseason to then -1......but Regardless they’ve had to make a change.

 

[BedfordFrog68]

We were 12.5 dogs to OSU. We lose by 12. Uncanny. How do they do it?

TCU was two-point favorite against Wisconsin....FWIW....

 

[Peacefrog]

Apparently their predictor goes back thru 40 years of data to set that.

Data points include enrollment numbers and stadium capacity.

 

[Peacefrog]

The only thing I’m confident in is if our team goes in there not ready to play and thinks Texas sucks we’re gonna be pretty deflated come Saturday night. This is gonna be a tough game.

Congrats on your big win last night.

 

[CountryFrog]

Congrats on your big win last night.

You guys have Wexahu all wrong. He's not a OSU fan. He's just a paid promoter of the Playoff Committee.

 

[Wexahu]

You guys have Wexahu all wrong. He's not a OSU fan. He's just a paid promoter of the Playoff Committee.

They don't pay me enough.