dkfrog said:
I'm not 100% sure, but my guess is eliminate teams based on margin of loss until two teams left. Then H2H.
First tiebreaker would be record against 4th-place team, but we would all beat OU (and everybody else) in your scenario, it would come down to total point differential in the games among each other. The team with the lowest total is eliminated, then H2H determines the winner. For us to win a tiebreaker against Baylor and OSU, OSU would have to be the team eliminated on point differential. Right now, they are +20 and we are -20. So we need Baylor to beat OSU by as much as they possibly can, but at least by 21. Then we would then need to beat Baylor by a range of scores that increases by three for every additional point they beat OSU by. Any score below the range eliminates us. Any score above the range eliminates Baylor (which means the tiebreaker becomes H2H result against OSU). Here's the breakdown (I'll spare you the math behind it):
The 1st number is Baylor's margin of victory over OSU, followed by the range we would then need to beat Baylor by in order to have OSU end up with the lowest point differential.
21: 20-21
22: 19-23
23: 18-25
24: 17-27
25: 16-29
26: 15-31
27: 14-33
etc. For each additional Baylor point over OSU, our range by which to beat Baylor increases by 1 point on the low end and 2 points on the high end. (if I had taken a math class since HS, I could probably express that as an algebraic function, but alas, my brain doesn't like it when I attempt things like that).
Of course, keep in mind that Baylor tends not to play as well on the road and has never won in Stillwater. But there's always a chance.
