7.5 I think?What was the opening line to last year's big 12 championship game?
Just want to gauge how much better they thing OSU is vs OU last year.
If we play like we did at SMU we will be lucky to stay within 20.
2/3 of the games he has started has been in bad weather.
True but the rain didn't seem to bother SMU much in the 1st quarterLet’s hope it doesn’t rain inside jerryworld
You are a rational fan. Welcome to the board. We look forward to discussing the upcoming game with you. It’s a lot more fun discussing football than talking trash. We appreciate your insight going forward this week.As an OSU fan , Robinson worries me. Our defensive line over pursues, and we play a lot of man to man in the secondary. His ability to make plays with his feet are going to be the deciding factor in either direction. Spread feels too big for this game.
As an OSU fan , Robinson worries me. Our defensive line over pursues, and we play a lot of man to man in the secondary. His ability to make plays with his feet are going to be the deciding factor in either direction. Spread feels too big for this game.
Here is what the data suggests. Rather than trying to pick winners, take the picks where true value differs most from Vegas value (lines). Unfortunately, it looks like true value is closer to 3 TDs for OSU than 2TDs. Doesn't mean the frogs won't win, it just means that as of now, OSU is more efficient per offensive and defensive play relative to the competition it is facing.
Bill Connely developed his S&P+ Ratings and does the deep analytics on this. Its the most in depth model out there for NCAAF. The Fremeau Efficiency Index (FEI) is a close 2nd.
The S&P+ Ratings are a college football ratings system derived from both play-by-play and drive data from all 800+ of a season's FBS college football games (and 140,000+ plays).
OSU Off S&P + 51.4
OSU Def S&P + 15.6
OSU ST S&P + 0.1
OSU S&P margin 36.0
TCU Off S&P + 34.2
TCU Def S&P + 17.6
TCU ST S&P + 0.0
TCU S&P margin +16.6
I do this for most soccer leagues, baseball, international basketball leagues, and NCAAF. I don't do this for NFL as the amount of games with significant value is too few.