Pharm Frog
Full Member
so basically we are getting more meaningless hits this year...which seems about right. Earlier this year, we had a good run where we were putting together 2 out rallies like we did last year a lot - but definitely feels like we have gotten a lot more hits this year where we couldn't get the runner around.
wonder what our LOB is this year vs last?
Okay, recognizing the LOB is a tricky metric since many potent offenses leave a high number on base because a lot actually get on base. On a per game basis...
2017 Frogs left 7.53 runners on base (opponents stranded 6.87) -- difference of .66 runners per game
2018 (to date) Frogs leave 8.24 runners on base (opponents stranding 7.82) -- difference of .42 runners per game
I think another explanation may be in the extra base hit arena
2017 Frogs hit doubles in 5% of their ABs compared to 2018 Frogs hitting them at 4%
Triples are rare enough to not really matter as much IMO but 2018 Frogs are slightly ahead of per-game pace than 2017 at .7% of ABs v .5% of ABs.
2017 Frogs hit home runs in 2.5% of their ABs compared to the 2018 Frogs at 1.9% (.85 per game v .64 per game). And this is with the recent power surge or it would be an even greater differential
And a lot of this shows up in the slugging percentage: 2017 at .402 with 2018 at .381. We just aren't getting as many bases per AB.
Also, the Sac Fly may be instructive:
2017 Frogs averaged .47 sac flies per game...2018 is seeing .35
But you can't hit sac flies unless you move runners around. And....check out the stolen base differences:
2017 Frogs averaged 1.92 SBs per game and were caught stealing 18% of the attempts (mostly picked off variety)
2018 Frogs averaging 1.44 SBs per game and are being caught 25% of the time