Sorry, let’s clarify a few things here.
Edited to reflect OKST 3-6 conference record.
Assume OU beats UT, then:
TCU is eligible for (2) Memphis or (1) Houston. Tossup to pick between TCU or Baylor. OKST firm to PHX. Given proximity and recent performance, you’d think TCU would place @ Houston (better payout and highest ranking bowl), with Baylor going to (2) Memphis.
If OU loses to UT or does not make playoff, then we’re limited to lower bowl and Texas bowl is not an option (everyone moves down a slot). It’d be a tossup for (1) Memphis and PHX (2)
Notable OKST booster is on Texas bowl committee and hinted last week that OKST was Houston bound. Would’ve been guaranteed if they won as things would’ve fell nicely with no ties.
The B12 STRICTLY follows teams being placed in bowls based on conference record & standings. Ties in a conference record are a tossup for the bowls to choose.
The SEC does not follow this and hand picks what teams go where.