• The KillerFrogs

Gameday Thread, Home Stretch Edition: TCU vs Iowa State

Froggy Style

Active Member
Eat a bag of dicks.
Thank you, more succinct and tells me what’s on your mind.

Didn’t require chat gpt to write up a bunch of words that mean squat. Did it create a model for you to gamble your money away too? It sure hasn’t helped your football eye, I see you’re still pushing the notion that we’re “almost” undefeated. Great, and we’re also almost 4–5 against 8 below average teams.
 

Limey Frog

Full Member
How does Hoover command $2.4 million in NIL money? Is that the going rate because that seems like a WHOLE lot for what we are getting. Just wondering. Are we spending the money in the places we should be and not heavy on one guy? I guess not.
If we had a decent line we could pay a less talented QB less than half as much and still be at least this mediocre.
 

HornedFrogAz

Active Member
Thank you, more succinct and tells me what’s on your mind.

Didn’t require chat gpt to write up a bunch of words that mean squat. Did it create a model for you to gamble your money away too? It sure hasn’t helped your football eye, I see you’re still pushing the notion that we’re “almost” undefeated. Great, and we’re also almost 4–5 against 8 below average teams.

Funny that the same guy saying people here need to act like adults said that to you literally just a few posts later.

That precious model is beyond reproach. Take his eyes, his ears, his heart.... but leave the model alone!
 

HornedFrogAz

Active Member
Actual footage of Froggy Style...

Screen Media Films GIF

So if he is Don Quixote, does that make you the inanimate object that should just be ignored?
 

Froggy Style

Active Member
So if he is Don Quixote, does that make you the inanimate object that should just be ignored?
Wex is a harmless internet warrior. He takes a position and then argues it into the ground. Lots of people said we would likely lose three or four of our final games and Wex tried to troll them all of last week. Then disappeared when our coaches got their pants pulled down on Saturday. He’s trying to make it about GP vs Sonny or just TCU accepting mediocrity.

Truth is, they both are mirroring each other. End of career syndrome trying to get as many million dollar paychecks as possible without knowing how to adjust.
 

LisaLT

Active Member
The market will adjust as more information becomes available. Right now, $2.4 million feels like a lot, especially when your program has multiple needs and other programs are competing for the same resources. Eventually, there’s going to be a Moneyball effect in all of this. Maybe quarterbacks will continue to command millions on a regular basis, but there will be statistical inefficiencies to exploit.

For example, in the NFL, running backs aren’t highly paid, outside of a few, they’re considered interchangeable. Yet in fantasy football, their value is often higher because of how point utilization works. I think NIL economics will eventually follow a similar pattern.
For 2.4 million you could probably have a very very good OL and use Seals. I personally think Barnes is a very good RB (when healthy), and with a better OL and run blocking capability we’d be much better off than paying one guy who is average that much dough.
 

HornedFrogAz

Active Member
Wex is a harmless internet warrior. He takes a position and then argues it into the ground. Lots of people said we would likely lose three or four of our final games and Wex tried to troll them all of last week. Then disappeared when our coaches got their pants pulled down on Saturday. He’s trying to make it about GP vs Sonny or just TCU accepting mediocrity.

Truth is, they both are mirroring each other. End of career syndrome trying to get as many million dollar paychecks as possible without knowing how to adjust.

I mostly agree about Wex, but he was not who I was referring to. The boy with the model is.
 

Chongo94

Active Member
I don’t think we’re very good and didn’t have much hope coming into the season but I ABSOLUTELY believe we would’ve had 2-4 more wins over this year and the last 2 through better coaching decisions.

I also think Sonny lost his arguably two best coaches after that first year when the two recruiting guru studs left for other schools.
 
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LisaLT

Active Member
I don’t think we’re very good and didn’t have much hope coming into the season but I ABSOLUTELY believe would would’ve had 2-4 more wins over this year and the last 2 through better coaching decisions.

I also think Sonny lost his arguably two best coaches after that first year when the two recruiting guru studs left for other schools.
I thought we’d have only 3 losses this year so they cannot lose another one lol. Wishful thinking.
 

Froggy Style

Active Member
what the heck is this model y'all keep talking about?
and can we use it to predict the new OC?
An Cap was telling us a few weeks back how smart he was a football, and had created a model to predict scores. We should therefore trust him that our coaches were fine because the model has and continues to to predict 8-4 or better. He also thinks we're just a few plays away from undefeated...and chat gpt wrote up a nice synapsis of the future of NIL for him too (probably made a good little excel gambling model too).
 

Wexahu

Full Member
An Cap was telling us a few weeks back how smart he was a football, and had created a model to predict scores. We should therefore trust him that our coaches were fine because the model has and continues to to predict 8-4 or better. He also thinks we're just a few plays away from undefeated...and chat gpt wrote up a nice synapsis of the future of NIL for him too (probably made a good little excel gambling model too).
I don't think he told you how smart he was, or that you should trust him, or that our coaches were fine because whatever, or that we were a few plays from being undefeated. But go on ahead misrepresenting what was said or taking it totally out of context, it's par for the course around here.
 

An-Cap Frog

Member
An Cap was telling us a few weeks back how smart he was a football, and had created a model to predict scores. We should therefore trust him that our coaches were fine because the model has and continues to to predict 8-4 or better. He also thinks we're just a few plays away from undefeated...and chat gpt wrote up a nice synapsis of the future of NIL for him too (probably made a good little excel gambling model too).
Just because I dabble in statistics doesn’t mean I’m some football expert. I’m simply sharing what the numbers say...take it or leave it. Yes, before the season started, my model projected the Frogs to finish 8–4, and that projection has been steady almost every week. Right now, the model still shows that 8 wins is the most likely outcome. That doesn’t guarantee we’ll get there.

On the coaching side: we lucked into the best coach this program has ever had. We didn’t have to convince GP to come to TCU...he was already here. SD stopped here and wanted a place with stronger support than SMU, so that hire was relatively straightforward. I’m not sure it will be that easy next time. We like to think we have major advantages...location, alumni network, recruiting base, etc....but do we really stack up better than other programs? I think we’re fooling ourselves if we assume our spot in the next realignment is secure just because we feel like we have inherent advantages. That mentality affects hiring, too...every coaching search operates in a competitive landscape.

Regarding my writing style, I’ve spent most of my career writing technical accounting memoranda. Primarily focusing on the adoption on new accounting pronouncements. I even had the pleasure of working for Barry Epstein, who was the lead author of 26 editions of Wiley GAAP. Maybe some of that experience rubbed off on me. That doesn’t make me the world’s greatest wordsmith, but it does mean I have a lot of experience. If you’d like more examples, feel free to peruse my posts in the Pit.
 
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