TopFrog
Lifelong Frog
2025 College Football Power Index: Best matchups, title odds
Neil Paine
There's no going back now. The College Football Playoff's expanded 12-team format made its debut last season, reshaping the postseason as we knew it and showing just how brutal the path to a national championship can be. Add in a flurry of conference realignments (with the grueling travel schedules they created), the ever-increasing influence of the transfer portal and what might be the dawn of an entirely new financial modelunderpinning the sport, and college football could be changing faster -- and more dramatically -- than at any point in its history.
As part of our efforts to keep track of these seismic changes, we are relaunching our Football Power Index (FPI) ratings and projections for the 2025 season this week. Just to refresh our memories, the FPI is a predictive rating system that estimates each FBS team's strength (in points per game relative to the national average) on offense, defense and special teams, making adjustments for starters lost, recruiting talent and other personnel changes. Those numbers are then plugged into the schedule, and everything is simulated 20,000 times to track each team's odds of winning its conference, making the playoff and advancing through to the national title.
The preseason forecast features plenty of familiar teams at the top, but also plenty of candidates to crash the playoff party.
Let's begin our tour of the data by looking at the teams most likely to win the 2025 championship.
Read the rest at https://www.espn.com/college-footba...ball-fpi-power-index-best-matchups-title-odds
