I am thinking more in years than in money. He would be closer to the end of the current contract and easier to pull the trigger.
If he went your hypothetical 9-3, I don't think he gets that contract extension, time wise.
Luke Fickell is signed through
2032 (but after 2029 his buyout is only $6.5M)
Mike Norvell is signed though
2031 and has a current $53M buyout
Venables is signed through
2029 @ $8.5-9/year
Aranda is signed through
2029 @ $4.7M
Mark Stoops is signed through
2031 @ $9M/year. Has a current buyout of $38M.
Lincoln Riley is signed through
2031 @ $11M/year. Reported buyout of around $90M.
Relative to these, Dykes contract situation shouldn't be an issue at all. And relative to those coaches performance, he's been a bargain. This is the competition if we want to be a big-time football program. Florida owes Napier about $21M, he was signed through 2028 like Dykes.