If you are a believer in Lunardi...not his specific rankings (last 4 in, etc.) but the fact that his clusters (should be in, work to do, etc.) are fairly accurate..then we have 19 "work to do" teams vying for 7 spots. If Oregon, SDSU, and Memphis/Wichita State win their tourneys, that could shrink to 4 spots.
-TCU
-Texas
-Lipscomb
-UNC-Greensboro
-Furman
-St. John's
-Temple
-Creighton
-Georgetown
-Xavier
-NC State
-Clemson
-Ohio State
-Belmont
-Indiana
-Arizona State
-Florida
-Alabama
-Memphis
I think Florida and Arizona State are "in".
If 5 spots are left (after UF and ASU), I feel confident. TCU, Belmont, Ohio State, NC State, and St. John's would be my guess. Temple could easily replace NC State or SJ.
If this get to 2 spots...I think we are out. And that's fair.