Wow, I think the floor might be quite a bit lower than that. Worst case?
Do you remember 2013? 2016? '18-19? 2021? 2023? I wonder what people thought "worst case" could be in those years.
I'm still having a hard time wondering why people think we're gonna be really good, and materially better than last year.
It’s not that I think TCU is that great. After BYU & TT, none of our opponents look good.
But there are many things in TCU’s favor:
- 7 Home games & 1 Neutral site, so only 4 real road games.
- I believe Roster retention is a big deal. TCU only had to take 11 position players in the portal.
- TCU’s 11 graded out @ 85.82. 5 of them graded out 86 or higher & only 1 less than 85…..at least 6 or 7 will be major contributors.
Other B12 teams:
UCF needed 29
BU needed 27
WV needed 33
Ks. needed 30
Az. needed 24
KSU needed 26
UU needed 14 and a new HC.
- Only KSU & UU graded at 86.
The 3 non-conference games look like wins. NC still does not look good.
Outside of BYU & TT, all of our conference opponents have major assimilation issues.