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Scott & Wes Frog Fan Forum
2022 MLB Thread*
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<blockquote data-quote="This Ain't Chopped Liver" data-source="post: 3239027" data-attributes="member: 74137"><p>[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.si.com/mlb/2022/12/26/older-players-more-money-contracts-correa-turner[/URL]</p><p>Productive players in their late 30s are the rarest they have been in 50 years….</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Baseball was a young man’s game in the 1960s and ’70s, through three expansions. In those times many players still took offseason jobs and used spring training to “get in shape.”</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">The early 1980s saw such a huge growth in extended careers that it looks like an outlier. The years ’82 to ’87 averaged 13 productive players per season, compared to 6.5 in the 11 years before and 7.9 in the 11 years after.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">The steroid era extended careers. From 1999 through 2008, which reflects the last group who accrued the benefits before testing began in ’04, the game averaged 13.6 productive older players each year—an extended peak compared to the early-’80s spike.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">In 14 years after the steroid era’s peak, the number of productive older players has been cut by more than half, to an average of 6.1 per season. Last season saw only four productive older players: Justin Turner, Carlos Santana, Justin Verlander and Adam Wainwright. In 2004 there were 19.</li> </ul><p>…Again, there's been a decline since 2009, and the numbers do not support the massive investments in aging hitters. The past six seasons have seen only 15 older productive hitters, an average of just 2.5 per year—or half as many as the previous six-year average and down from seven per year in the steroid era.</p><p>….</p><p>Older players are getting more money as the game is getting younger. The average age of a hitter last season was 28.3. In 2004, it was 29.3, the oldest mark in baseball history (with the exception of the years 1944 and ’45, when many players served in the military).</p><p></p><p>The average age of a hitter exceeded 29 every year from 2000 to ’07, thanks largely to steroids. Except for 1944 to ’45, it never happened<em> once</em> before or since. It has been no higher than 28.4 for the past eight seasons—the first such extended emphasis on youth since the 1970s.</p><p>….</p><p>The newest class of players with megacontracts includes more money at more advanced ages. Until the trendline changes, the incentive for clubs is less about sport science than it is accounting and the cost of acquiring the player.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="This Ain't Chopped Liver, post: 3239027, member: 74137"] [URL unfurl="true"]https://www.si.com/mlb/2022/12/26/older-players-more-money-contracts-correa-turner[/URL] Productive players in their late 30s are the rarest they have been in 50 years…. [LIST] [*]Baseball was a young man’s game in the 1960s and ’70s, through three expansions. In those times many players still took offseason jobs and used spring training to “get in shape.” [*]The early 1980s saw such a huge growth in extended careers that it looks like an outlier. The years ’82 to ’87 averaged 13 productive players per season, compared to 6.5 in the 11 years before and 7.9 in the 11 years after. [*]The steroid era extended careers. From 1999 through 2008, which reflects the last group who accrued the benefits before testing began in ’04, the game averaged 13.6 productive older players each year—an extended peak compared to the early-’80s spike. [*]In 14 years after the steroid era’s peak, the number of productive older players has been cut by more than half, to an average of 6.1 per season. Last season saw only four productive older players: Justin Turner, Carlos Santana, Justin Verlander and Adam Wainwright. In 2004 there were 19. [/LIST] …Again, there's been a decline since 2009, and the numbers do not support the massive investments in aging hitters. The past six seasons have seen only 15 older productive hitters, an average of just 2.5 per year—or half as many as the previous six-year average and down from seven per year in the steroid era. …. Older players are getting more money as the game is getting younger. The average age of a hitter last season was 28.3. In 2004, it was 29.3, the oldest mark in baseball history (with the exception of the years 1944 and ’45, when many players served in the military). The average age of a hitter exceeded 29 every year from 2000 to ’07, thanks largely to steroids. Except for 1944 to ’45, it never happened[I] once[/I] before or since. It has been no higher than 28.4 for the past eight seasons—the first such extended emphasis on youth since the 1970s. …. The newest class of players with megacontracts includes more money at more advanced ages. Until the trendline changes, the incentive for clubs is less about sport science than it is accounting and the cost of acquiring the player. [/QUOTE]
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