Back of envelope stuff. Everyone knows that our pitching has not been up to TCU standards this year. That much is clear. And, despite pre-season thoughts that our fielding would be improved, it really hasn't. It's pretty apparent that we have a much more potentially potent offense. However, our scoring per game is about where we were in 2017 and almost a quarter of our runs have been scored in just four ballgames (SFA and the EMU series). We are averaging approximately 1.5 runs less since Big12 play started (5.27) than our season average (6.83). We are at 5.9 runs per conference game. We used to say that we would almost certainly win if we get to 5-6 but that was with better pitching options.
We are batting 18 points worse in conference than on the season. Tech is down 19 points. Texas is down 19 points. OU is down 28 points. Oklahoma State is up by 2 points and Baylor is down by only 1 point and hitting .311 in conference. Not surprisingly, these two teams are leading the conference with the next four being in a virtual tie. BA isn't everything but it does provide a decent surrogate optic into how you might be getting into teams' bullpens. Okie Lite is averaging 8.4 runs per game in conference. and Baylor is averaging 7.0. If our bats can get hot (or at least hotter), we can make some noise.
While Rizer is really struggling at the plate in conference play, he anchors our outfield. We really need Wolfe and Watson to turn it on or Keefer come back strong. It would also be nice if we at least broke even on GIDP by season's end. Having a 31-16 disparity to the bad side is frightening. Getting to near even would mean great things for our pitchers and for scoring offense.