I generally dislike the bagman comments because they're not usually nearly as clever as the person posting them thinks because literally everyone who follows recruiting knows that there are nefarious practices in recruiting. Generally, I hesitate, without proof, to attribute that to a particular recruit by name predicated on speculation related to the school that the recruit ultimately chose.
But do I believe a recruit would be stupid enough to do that? We just had a recruit sign with another school who tweeted about the recruiting process being a vehicle to provide for his family. As much as I would have preferred to believe that surely he was speaking in a long-term sense about getting to the NFL, it turns out that he was, by many indications, being just that transparent about what could persuade him to chose a school.
So yeah, as much as I consider it to be largely trite to attribute certain recruiting losses to the bagman, I'll believe pretty much anything if presented with some level of actual evidence.