Florida
How we could play Florida: BCS Title Game if Texas loses and Florida beats Alabama in the SEC Title Game. Sugar Bowl if Florida loses SEC title game, Texas wins out, and we drop to the Sugar Bowl.
Florida Pros: Wire-to-wire #1 team until losing to Alabama, would be by far and away the 2nd best SEC team. Media loves the SEC, so beating a SEC team, especially one in the Top 5, would work well. Would beat an experienced and talented team as well.
Florida Cons: Same excuse SEC and Alabama apologists used last year, they "didn't want to be there". They would say Florida had their sights on Pasadena all year and just couldn't get up for a game in the Sugar Bowl. Others will say they beat no good teams throughout the year.
Odds of playing Florida: 1:8 for Sugar Bowl... 1:20 for BCS Title Game.
Alabama
How we could play Alabama: BCS Title Game if Texas loses and Alabama beats Florida in the SEC Title Game. Sugar Bowl if Florida beats Alabama in the SEC title game, Texas wins out, and we drop to the Sugar Bowl.
Alabama Pros: See Florida's pros.
Alabama Cons: See Florida's Cons. Also, Utah dismantled them last year, so people would just say its not impressive since Utah was able to do it as well.
Odds of playing Alabama: 1:7 for Sugar Bowl... 1:25 for BCS title game.
Texas
How we could play Texas: Very slim chance. We could play them in the BCS Title Game if Alabama loses to Auburn but beats Florida in SEC title game, Cincinnati loses as well, and we edge out Alabama for #2 in the final BCS poll. An even smaller chance of meeting them in the Fiesta Bowl - Texas loses to A&M but wins the Big 12, and we finish #3 in the BCS polls behind unbeaten Cincinnati or the BCS spits out a Florida-Alabama rematch in Pasadena(yuck) and the Fiesta Bowl snatches us up.
Texas Pros: Not much explanation needed. I think this is the dream matchup most TCU fans want.
Texas Cons: National media would downplay a win over Texas saying Texas beat no one of quality this year, as their best win right now is Oklahoma State who has impressed no one.
Odds of playing Texas: 1:50 for BCS Title Game.... 1:100 for Fiesta Bowl.
Oklahoma State
How we could play Oklahoma State: Oklahoma State wins out and gets picked by the Fiesta Bowl as the replacement pick for that bowl. The Big 10 runner up or Big East champ gets picked by the Orange, and the Fiesta gets us.
Oklahoma State Pros: Beating the Big 12 2nd place team would shut up many who say we would be a middle of the pack team in the Big 12.
Oklahoma State Cons: They have 2 embarrassing losses already. If we beat them, skeptics would say that Houston and Texas did so as well, even if we blow them out, they will say Texas did so too. Losing to them would be catastrophic. There is nothing to gain in national perception by beating this team.
Odds of playing Oklahoma State: 1:25 for Fiesta Bowl.
Nebraska
How we could play Nebraska: Nebraska shocks the nation and wins the Big 12. TCU does not finish in the BCS Top 2, Orange Bowl takes Texas and Fiesta Bowl takes us.
Nebraska Pros: We could beat them and say we accomplished what Texas could not.
Nebraska Cons: Beating a 3-4 loss team would prove nothing in terms of national perception.
Odds of playing Nebraska: 1:75 for Fiesta Bowl.
Georgia Tech
How we could play Georgia Tech: Good chance of this happening. We do not finish in BCS Top 2, and Orange Bowl takes us with their at-large pick.
Georiga Tech Pros: Beating the ACC Champ is always good, as well as a win over what could be a Top 5 team.
Georgia Tech Cons: People would say we beat them because we had more than a week to prepare for them. Georgia Tech is 0-4 vs. FBS teams that have had more than a week to prepare for them since Paul Johnson took over.
Odds of playing Georgia Tech: 1:3 for Orange Bowl
Iowa
How we could play Iowa: Penn State falls to Michigan State and Iowa gets picked by the Fiesta Bowl. We do not finish in BCS Top 2. Orange Bowl passes on us with their at-large pick and Fiesta Bowl takes us.
Iowa Pros: I honestly can not find one. What good would beating Iowa do for us?
Iowa Cons: People would say they were lucky to get to where they got and were never impressive all year. I don't think beating or even blowing out Iowa would impress people.
Odds of playing Iowa: 1:6 for Fiesta Bowl
Penn State
How we could play Penn State: Penn State wins out and the Fiesta Bowl goes for $$$ over who is more deserving and picks the Nittany Lions. We do not finish in BCS Top 2, Orange Bowl passes on us with their at-large pick and the Fiesta Bowl takes us.
Penn State Pros: We could beat a program with a lot of history, talent, and tradition.
Penn State Cons: Who has Penn State beaten this year? According to the Colley Matrix, their best win is Temple at #46. They have faceplanted in their only 2 big games this year, both at HOME.
Odds of playing Penn State: 1:5 for Fiesta Bowl
Other teams that could play in BCS Bowls but we have astronomical or no chance of playing: Clemson, Boise State, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh
How we could play Florida: BCS Title Game if Texas loses and Florida beats Alabama in the SEC Title Game. Sugar Bowl if Florida loses SEC title game, Texas wins out, and we drop to the Sugar Bowl.
Florida Pros: Wire-to-wire #1 team until losing to Alabama, would be by far and away the 2nd best SEC team. Media loves the SEC, so beating a SEC team, especially one in the Top 5, would work well. Would beat an experienced and talented team as well.
Florida Cons: Same excuse SEC and Alabama apologists used last year, they "didn't want to be there". They would say Florida had their sights on Pasadena all year and just couldn't get up for a game in the Sugar Bowl. Others will say they beat no good teams throughout the year.
Odds of playing Florida: 1:8 for Sugar Bowl... 1:20 for BCS Title Game.
Alabama
How we could play Alabama: BCS Title Game if Texas loses and Alabama beats Florida in the SEC Title Game. Sugar Bowl if Florida beats Alabama in the SEC title game, Texas wins out, and we drop to the Sugar Bowl.
Alabama Pros: See Florida's pros.
Alabama Cons: See Florida's Cons. Also, Utah dismantled them last year, so people would just say its not impressive since Utah was able to do it as well.
Odds of playing Alabama: 1:7 for Sugar Bowl... 1:25 for BCS title game.
Texas
How we could play Texas: Very slim chance. We could play them in the BCS Title Game if Alabama loses to Auburn but beats Florida in SEC title game, Cincinnati loses as well, and we edge out Alabama for #2 in the final BCS poll. An even smaller chance of meeting them in the Fiesta Bowl - Texas loses to A&M but wins the Big 12, and we finish #3 in the BCS polls behind unbeaten Cincinnati or the BCS spits out a Florida-Alabama rematch in Pasadena(yuck) and the Fiesta Bowl snatches us up.
Texas Pros: Not much explanation needed. I think this is the dream matchup most TCU fans want.
Texas Cons: National media would downplay a win over Texas saying Texas beat no one of quality this year, as their best win right now is Oklahoma State who has impressed no one.
Odds of playing Texas: 1:50 for BCS Title Game.... 1:100 for Fiesta Bowl.
Oklahoma State
How we could play Oklahoma State: Oklahoma State wins out and gets picked by the Fiesta Bowl as the replacement pick for that bowl. The Big 10 runner up or Big East champ gets picked by the Orange, and the Fiesta gets us.
Oklahoma State Pros: Beating the Big 12 2nd place team would shut up many who say we would be a middle of the pack team in the Big 12.
Oklahoma State Cons: They have 2 embarrassing losses already. If we beat them, skeptics would say that Houston and Texas did so as well, even if we blow them out, they will say Texas did so too. Losing to them would be catastrophic. There is nothing to gain in national perception by beating this team.
Odds of playing Oklahoma State: 1:25 for Fiesta Bowl.
Nebraska
How we could play Nebraska: Nebraska shocks the nation and wins the Big 12. TCU does not finish in the BCS Top 2, Orange Bowl takes Texas and Fiesta Bowl takes us.
Nebraska Pros: We could beat them and say we accomplished what Texas could not.
Nebraska Cons: Beating a 3-4 loss team would prove nothing in terms of national perception.
Odds of playing Nebraska: 1:75 for Fiesta Bowl.
Georgia Tech
How we could play Georgia Tech: Good chance of this happening. We do not finish in BCS Top 2, and Orange Bowl takes us with their at-large pick.
Georiga Tech Pros: Beating the ACC Champ is always good, as well as a win over what could be a Top 5 team.
Georgia Tech Cons: People would say we beat them because we had more than a week to prepare for them. Georgia Tech is 0-4 vs. FBS teams that have had more than a week to prepare for them since Paul Johnson took over.
Odds of playing Georgia Tech: 1:3 for Orange Bowl
Iowa
How we could play Iowa: Penn State falls to Michigan State and Iowa gets picked by the Fiesta Bowl. We do not finish in BCS Top 2. Orange Bowl passes on us with their at-large pick and Fiesta Bowl takes us.
Iowa Pros: I honestly can not find one. What good would beating Iowa do for us?
Iowa Cons: People would say they were lucky to get to where they got and were never impressive all year. I don't think beating or even blowing out Iowa would impress people.
Odds of playing Iowa: 1:6 for Fiesta Bowl
Penn State
How we could play Penn State: Penn State wins out and the Fiesta Bowl goes for $$$ over who is more deserving and picks the Nittany Lions. We do not finish in BCS Top 2, Orange Bowl passes on us with their at-large pick and the Fiesta Bowl takes us.
Penn State Pros: We could beat a program with a lot of history, talent, and tradition.
Penn State Cons: Who has Penn State beaten this year? According to the Colley Matrix, their best win is Temple at #46. They have faceplanted in their only 2 big games this year, both at HOME.
Odds of playing Penn State: 1:5 for Fiesta Bowl
Other teams that could play in BCS Bowls but we have astronomical or no chance of playing: Clemson, Boise State, Cincinnati, Pittsburgh
