The Bad Guy
Active Member
So where do we end up now..... I see the Big 12 collapsing with the PAC poaching.
Where’s the “independent” choice?
Going with Fort Worth (aka: in the Dallas area)
you think the coaches are going to work for less?
They did 10 years ago.
Added just for you.
I imagine our season ticket prices should drop abit now.
If we get left behind, the next guy we will be able to hire when GP decides it’s time will take a lot less and so will his staffyou think the coaches are going to work for less?
Odd best case.Where do I want to end up if this goes down? Pac 12. New teams, new opponents. Assuming that some of our b12 friends come along we'll have some rivalries still.
Realistically, unless something changes. I don't see Pac12 coming for TCU. Maybe they get OSU and Tech. I'm going to met we end up in the American.
I don't want the big 12 to survive at this point. Best case is that Baylor, TCU, OSU, Tech go into the American. it becomes the P5, and whatever. we play football and hopefully win.
So ISU and TCU... huh ! I can see that.PAC does not want TT, OSU, KSU, and WV academically. They don't want Kansas and baylor for obvious reasons, and not just because they are going on probation. We are the best fit for them if they want in the Central Time Zone. Or they can die a slow agonizing death in the dark.
Kinda like when we got into the Big12, we were the best available.
I’m hoping for pure chaos and they replace vandy with us. At least we bring dfw somewhat and athletic programs with a pulse.SEC
When Texas realizes they'll be unimportant chum in the conference, and backs out.
That is the perfect scenario for the Big and SEC. But that won't be this go-round.More likely the B1G and the SEC carve up the other three conferences for the teams they want and form a couple of 18 team conferences with 2 or 3 divisions and become the college equivalent of the NFC/AFC….and pat the rest of us on the head and say good luck
that way they can expand the playoff for “themselves” to 8 teams and keep all the money - which is more than sharing 12
The bridesmaid won't be Iowa State, it will be Baylor.That is the perfect scenario for the Big and SEC. But that won't be this go-round.
This realignment could go as follows:
I believe it is likely that the PAC-12 will be very slow to expand since there are no sensible geographic fits with the B12 "leftover" eight. The PAC12 will at first play defense to blunt any try for the B12 to grab the Mountain Time Zone teams: CO, UT AZ and ASU.
There may be some movement by the BiG to "keep up" with the SEC at 16 but their options are Kansas and nothing else - sorry WVU. They very well could go for another contiguous option and pull UVA. Missou isn't going to leave the mega bucks of the SEC to join a conference that they should be in! I don't see the BiG going into Texas/Oklahoma with the available schools.
The ACC is relatively safe at 14+ND 5 games per year. Maybe/long shot WVU could be a "shotgun marriage" (they did let in Louisville.) ND will not cave and join football full-time with the ACC. This will continue to be a limitation in filling-up that conference to 16 members.
There are 65 Power teams today. 16X4 plus ND would work and nobody would be without. But it appears that in the end there could be one bridesmaid - I believe that's Iowa State.
If the non-SEC conferences are slow to add-on and want to stay status quo, The B12 expands to 12 - unlikely to get the Pac12 four schools above - and then they raid the American/Mtn West. Candidates would be from Cinci, Memphis, UCF, USF, Houston, Boise (fb only) and BYU (fb only.) - No to SMU, Tulsa, NexMex, ColSt and Wyoming. The Big 12ers will do the picking not the AAC folks.
Then the issue will be: can the B12 survive with a reasonable TV contract and Power Conference status - We can't survive the Big East-like downgrade to "Group of 5/6" and maintain our athletic budgets. Also, this downgrade would rob TCU of any hope of regular national playoffs spots (assuming 12 slots annually.)