It's not BS at all, we have two decades of data to show for it. Despite ending the regular season undefeated twice and 1-loss twice (to say nothing of how the 2-loss teams of '08, '11, & '15 may have gotten bids), at the end of every single regular season of the Gary Patterson tenure, TCU has had a 0.0% chance of winning a national title. Not "really difficult", not "if they get hot and get some bracket luck". ZERO. They weren't eligible. In 3 of those 4 seasons it was even worse, as they were almost entirely eliminated before the regular season even started simply because they were members of a non-AQ conference.
Saying "winning three or four games in a row against elite level teams is really, really hard for a team like TCU" is a fair enough point, but we can absolutely say that it's not as impossible as "winning a national title when you aren't even allowed to play for one".
Indeed. Wexahu's argument - that a team that finished 2nd in the Final AP Poll following the 2010 season and 3rd in the Final AP Poll following the 2014 season - would have a very very slim chance of finishing #1 had they been given a chance to prove it on the field, is ludicrous. And our argument - that in both the BCS era and the CFP era, TCU was never given a chance to play for a national championship, is provable by demonstrable fact and actual history.
Here's how it would have turned out in the proposed system:
2000 - TCU would have been the 12th seed and would have played Virginia Tech in the opening round.
2005 - TCU would have been seeded 12th and would have played Ohio State in the first round.
2008 - TCU would have been the 11th seed and would have opened up at Alabama.
2009 - TCU would have been the 4th seed and would have gotten a bye in the first round and then played the winner between Florida and LSU.
2010 - TCU would have been been the 3rd seed, gotten a bye and would have faced the winner of Ohio State v. LSU.
2011 - TCU would have been the 12th seed and would have opened up at Bama.
2014 - TCU would have been the 6th seed and hosted KState in the first round and would then have played Florida State if we won.
2015 - TCU would have been the 11th seed and opened up at Stanford.
Because we were never given a chance, it's entirely speculative as to how we would have done, but I like our chances in 2010 and 2014, and the 2008-2009 teams were also pretty formidable.