• The KillerFrogs

Fivethirtyeight evergreen 2017 College Football Predictions

NNM

I can eat 50 eggs
Fun little tool that is updated after every game. It has the next game for all the contenders, that you can manipulate with predicting wins/losses.

Currently TCU is at 39% chance of winning the B12, 29% chance of making the CFP, the 7th most likely. Bama is the most likely, 56% chance of winning SECSECSEC but 69% chance of making CFP.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2017-college-football-predictions/
 
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ftwfrog

Active Member
The fun part is to play with the "win out" or "lose next game" options.

Example. Iowa State wins out they have a 55% chance of going to the playoff.
 

JogginFrog

Active Member
Given all of the Notre-Dame-wins-out-and-it-must-make-the-CFP talk this week, the simulator only gives the Irish a 47% chance of making the playoff if it wins out.
 

finafrog

Full Member
they should stick to politics. in 2014, he predicted that we are in AFTER the last round of games. complete lack of understanding of the politics of college football.
 

Zubaz

Member
Penn St, Ohio St & Wisky kinda cancel one another out....so Nate can EAD
It's individual percentages, not a prediction for the group.

So for example, while Alabama and Georgia each have the top odds, the chart is not the odds of BOTH Alabama and Georgia getting in.
 
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